Based on the methodology I have developed looking at correlations between Nino3.4 Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (SSTA) and the Antarctic Oscillation (AAO), I have developed an experimental forecast of Nino3.4 SSTA to November 2015. This is purely experimental.
Based on this forecast, I expect to see a continuation of neutral ENSO conditions through to June 2013, followed by strong El Nino conditions through to June 2014, with a mild to moderate La Nina developing from about September 2014, persisting into early 2015.
This forecast is based on a correlation between the AAO and Nino3.4 SSTA data from 1990 to 2012.
The Weather Nerd 